Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at GAG Store Championship
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
4-7-0
overall winrate
36.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.2%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
45.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1230
· median 1230
· range 1169–1291
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1247
Q3 1403
1482
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +14.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.5 |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.8 |
